>China neutered, industry gone, what does that mean? Who benefits, who falters? Do global supply chains still work?
If anything like that happened, it wouldn't be overnight. First and foremost an immediate request (read: begging) for North Korea to normalize relations with South Korea would be required to prevent a true global world war. That aside, assuming the absolute worse case scenario of a massive war, Taiwan would claim the ports and facilities within military range, India would retake the Tibetan parts, Mongolia or Russia would take the Muslim parts, North Korea would take some ports near them (and similarly with South Korea or Japan if Russia doesn't get it first), and that would likely liberalize their economy and eventually get them to become Neo-China. The rest would probably form a handful of cultural-linguistic boundary states that would either remain separate or become a Myanmar-like/India-like country after time passes. Asian coastlines would actually be safe once more and tour cruises could pass through without being swarmed by the rapey kind of pirates. As >>17881
suggests the entire world would go through a Great Depression and suicides would skyrocket, possibly civil wars would be fought by a generation fucked over by Boomers, Corporations, Governments, Chink Flu, and the immediate global supply collapse this would bring.
I estimate it could be closer to 5-10 years, but if you could survive that shit show, the emerging diversified Asian economy would bring about a new Golden Age. Or it could bring dystopia, this is clown world after all.